Dwarkesh Podcast
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Dwarkesh Podcast
Deeply researched interviews www.dwarkesh.com
സമീപകാല എപ്പിസോഡുകൾ
120 എപ്പിസോഡുകൾ
Dylan Patel — Deep dive on the 3 big bottlenecks to scaling AI compute
Dylan Patel, founder of SemiAnalysis, provides a deep dive into the 3 big bottlenecks to scaling AI compute: logic, memory, and power.
And walks...
I’m glad the Anthropic fight is happening now
Read the full essay here: https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/dow-anthropic
Timestamps
(00:00:00) - Anthropic vs The Pentagon
(00:04:1...
How cosplaying Ancient Rome led to the scientific revolution
Renaissance history is so much wilder and weirder than you would have expected. Very fun chatting with Ada Palmer (historian, novelist, and composer b...
Dario Amodei — "We are near the end of the exponential"
Dario Amodei thinks we are just a few years away from AGI — or as he puts it, from having “a country of geniuses in a data center”. In this episode, w...
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”
In this episode, John and I got to do a real deep-dive with Elon. We discuss the economics of orbital data centers, the difficulties of scaling power...
Adam Marblestone – AI is missing something fundamental about the brain
Adam Marblestone is CEO of Convergent Research. He’s had a very interesting past life: he was a research scientist at Google Deepmind on their neurosc...
An audio version of my blog post, Thoughts on AI progress (Dec 2025)
Read the essay here.
Timestamps
00:00:00 What are we scaling?
00:03:11 The value of human labor
00:05:04 Economic diffusion la...
Sarah Paine – Why Russia Lost the Cold War
This is the final episode of the Sarah Paine lecture series, and it’s probably my favorite one. Sarah gives a “tour of the arguments” on what ultimate...
Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research
Ilya & I discuss SSI’s strategy, the problems with pre-training, how to improve the generalization of AI models, and how to ensure AGI goes well.
Satya Nadella — How Microsoft is preparing for AGI
As part of this interview, Satya Nadella gave Dylan Patel (founder of SemiAnalysis) and me an exclusive first-look at their brand-new Fairwater 2 data...
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise
In this lecture, military historian Sarah Paine explains how Russia—and specifically Stalin—completely derailed China’s rise, slowing them down for ov...
Andrej Karpathy — AGI is still a decade away
The Andrej Karpathy episode.
During this interview, Andrej explains why reinforcement learning is terrible (but everything else is much worse),...
Nick Lane – Life as we know it is chemically inevitable
Nick Lane has some pretty wild ideas about the evolution of life.
He thinks early life was continuous with the spontaneous chemistry of undersea...
Some thoughts on the Sutton interview
I have a much better understanding of Sutton’s perspective now. I wanted to reflect on it a bit.
(00:00:00) - The steelman
(00:02:42) - TL...
Richard Sutton – Father of RL thinks LLMs are a dead end
Richard Sutton is the father of reinforcement learning, winner of the 2024 Turing Award, and author of The Bitter Lesson. And he thinks LLMs are a dea...
Fully autonomous robots are much closer than you think – Sergey Levine
Sergey Levine, one of the world’s top robotics researchers and co-founder of Physical Intelligence, thinks we’re on the cusp of a “self-improvement fl...
How Hitler almost starved Britain – Sarah Paine
In this lecture, military historian Sarah Paine explains how Britain used sea control, peripheral campaigns, and alliances to defeat Nazi Germany duri...
Evolution designed us to die fast; we can change that — Jacob Kimmel
Jacob Kimmel thinks he can find the transcription factors to reverse aging. We do a deep dive on why this might be plausible and why evolution hasn’t...
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer
How will we feed the 100s of GWs of extra energy demand that AI will create over the coming decade? On this episode, Casey Handmer (Caltech PhD, forme...
The surprising economics of the meat industry – Lewis Bollard
A deep dive with Lewis Bollard, who leads Open Philanthropy’s strategy for Farmed Animal Welfare, on the surprising economics of the meat industry.
Sarah Paine: How Imperial Japan Defeated Tsarist Russia & Qing China
After my last lecture series with Sarah Paine ended, I still had so many questions. I knew we’d only scratched the surface of Sarah’s scholarship, so...
Stephen Kotkin — How Stalin Became the Most Powerful Dictator in History
The Stephen Kotkin episode. Kotkin is arguably the world’s foremost expert on Joseph Stalin and has written a massive 2-volume biography on him (with...
Why I don’t think AGI is right around the corner
I’ve had a lot of discussions on my podcast where we haggle out timelines to AGI. Some guests think it’s 20 years away - others 2 years.
Here’s...
George Church — A Billion Years of Evolution in a Single Afternoon
George Church is the godfather of modern synthetic biology and has been involved with basically every major biotech breakthrough in the last few decad...
China’s Manufacturing Dominance: State Directives & Ruthless Competition — Arthur Kroeber
Arthur Kroeber is a leading researcher on Chinese tech and macro, a founding partner at Gavekal Dragonomics, and author of "China's Economy: What Ever...
“China is digging out of a crisis. And America’s luck is wearing thin.” — Ken Rogoff
Ken Rogoff is the former chief economist of the IMF, a professor of Economics at Harvard, and author of the newly released Our Dollar, Your Problem an...
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih
On this episode, I chat with Victor Shih about all things China. We discuss China’s massive local debt crisis, the CCP’s views on AI, what happens aft...
Is RL + LLMs enough for AGI? — Sholto Douglas & Trenton Bricken
New episode with my good friends Sholto Douglas & Trenton Bricken. Sholto focuses on scaling RL and Trenton researches mechanistic interpretability, b...
What Will Automated Firms Look Like?
Based on my essay about AI firms.
Huge thanks to Petr and his team for bringing this to life!
Watch on YouTube.
Thanks to Google for...
Mark Zuckerberg — AI Will Write Most Meta Code in 18 Months
Zuck on:
* Llama 4, benchmark gaming
* Intelligence explosion, business models for AGI
* DeepSeek/China, export controls, & Trump
Why Rome Actually Fell: Plagues, Slavery, & Ice Age — Kyle Harper
800 years before the Black Death, the very same bacteria ravaged Rome, killing 60%+ of the population in many areas.
Also, back-to-back volcanic...
AGI is Still 30 Years Away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu
Ege Erdil and Tamay Besiroglu have 2045+ timelines, think the whole "alignment" framing is wrong, don't think an intelligence explosion is plausible,...
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo
Scott and Daniel break down every month from now until the 2027 intelligence explosion.
Scott Alexander is author of the highly influential blog...
AMA ft. Sholto & Trenton: New Book, Career Advice Given AGI, How I'd Start From Scratch
I recorded an AMA! I had a blast chatting with my friends Trenton Bricken and Sholto Douglas. We discussed my new book, career advice given AGI, how I...
Joseph Henrich – Why Humans Survived and Smarter Species Didn't
Humans have not succeeded because of our raw intelligence.
Marooned European explorers regularly starved to death in areas where foragers thrive...
Notes on China
I’m so excited with how this visualization of Notes on China turned out. Petr, thank you for such beautiful watercolor artwork. More to come!
Wa...
Satya Nadella – Microsoft’s AGI Plan & Quantum Breakthrough
Satya Nadella on:
Why he doesn’t believe in AGI but does believe in 10% economic growth;
Microsoft’s new topological qubit breakthrough...
Jeff Dean & Noam Shazeer – 25 years at Google: from PageRank to AGI
This week I welcome on the show two of the most important technologists ever, in any field.
Jeff Dean is Google's Chief Scientist, and through 2...
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China
Third and final episode in the Paine trilogy!
Chinese history is full of warlords constantly challenging the capital. How could Mao not only sta...
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)
This is the second episode in the trilogy of a lectures by Professor Sarah Paine of the Naval War College.
In this second episode, Prof Paine di...